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Why scientists fear Emperor penguins' annual moult may be killing them

Mar 05, 2026  Twila Rosenbaum  9 views

Recent studies have illuminated a grave concern for Emperor penguins, revealing that their annual moult is becoming increasingly perilous due to climate change. As Antarctica experiences significant warming, the conditions necessary for these birds to safely shed and regrow their feathers are deteriorating.

Each year, Emperor penguins must stay on stable platforms of floating ice long enough to replace their weather-beaten feathers with new, waterproof coats. However, from 2022 to 2024, a dramatic reduction in Antarctic sea ice has left these birds without adequate places to undergo this critical process.

Scientists monitoring Emperor penguins through satellite imagery have reported a troubling trend: many colonies appear to have vanished. Dr. Peter Fretwell, a prominent researcher at the British Antarctic Survey, expressed his alarm, stating, "This was really an 'oh my God' moment. You could see this was something game-changing for Emperor penguins. Suddenly you're thinking, well, have we got time to save them?"

The findings, published in the journal Communications Earth & Environment, highlight the consequences of the significant reduction in summer sea ice in 2022-24, particularly in West Antarctica, which houses a considerable portion of the global Emperor penguin population.

During their moult, which lasts approximately 30 to 40 days, Emperor penguins migrate thousands of kilometers to find stable sea ice. This period, referred to as a "catastrophic moult," is crucial for their survival, as the birds expend a significant amount of energy—up to 50% of their body weight—while shedding old feathers and growing new ones.

Previously, large brown smudges, which are mounds of discarded feathers, were identified in satellite images from 2019 to 2025. However, Dr. Fretwell observed that after the drastic sea ice reduction in 2022, signs of the birds were alarmingly scarce. "There should have been lots of penguins there, but actually we could only see 25 groups," he noted. These groups can range from a few dozen to over a thousand birds.

In 2023, a modest recovery in sea ice was noted, yet the visibility of the penguins remained low. Dr. Fretwell fears that many of the birds may have perished during this critical period, with some potentially relocating to East Antarctica to moult, disrupting their breeding patterns and further threatening their population.

The research underscores the urgency of the situation, as projections indicate that most Emperor penguin colonies could face extinction by the year 2100. The study emphasizes the need for immediate action to understand the full impact of climate change on these vulnerable birds.

Moving forward, Dr. Fretwell plans to compare his findings with an upcoming population count of Emperor penguins in the Ross Sea region. This will provide more insight into the potential scale of mortality and help refine predictions regarding the extinction timelines for these iconic Antarctic animals.

In conclusion, the plight of the Emperor penguins serves as a poignant reminder of the dramatic effects of climate change. Dr. Fretwell reflects on his emotional investment in this research, stating, "It is the only piece of science I've ever done that's really emotionally got me." As the situation evolves, the hope remains that timely interventions can mitigate the threats faced by these remarkable birds.


Source: Bbc News


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